The model estimates 1.80 goals for Lajense and 1.26 for Serpa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lajense and 6 for Serpa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lajense · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lajense is going head to head with Serpa on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 13.
Lajense take on Serpa in the Campeonato de Portugal on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Lajense are currently placed 29th in the table with 7 points, while Serpa occupy 21st position with 8 points.
Lajense come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Serpa have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lajense to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.06. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 61%.




In their last 6 matches, Lajense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lajense's last 6 matches.
Lajense score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Serpa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Serpa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Serpa's last 6 matches.