The model estimates 1.44 goals for Vitória Setúbal and 1.31 for Serpa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vitória Setúbal and 6 for Serpa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Vitória Setúbal · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vitória Setúbal is going head to head with Serpa on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 14.
Vitória Setúbal take on Serpa in the Campeonato de Portugal on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Vitória Setúbal are currently placed 43rd in the table with 5 points, while Serpa occupy 21st position with 8 points.
Vitória Setúbal come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Serpa have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Vitória Setúbal have 2 wins against Serpa.
Prediction: Vitória Setúbal to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.75. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.
VITSERVITSERVITSERVITSERVITSERVITSERVITSERVITSERVITSERVitória Setúbal have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Vitória Setúbal's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Vitória Setúbal's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Serpa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Serpa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Serpa's last 6 matches.
