The model estimates 0.99 goals for Mortagua and 0.77 for Naval 1893. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mortagua and 6 for Naval 1893, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Naval 1893 · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mortagua is going head to head with Naval 1893 on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 19.
Mortagua take on Naval 1893 in the Campeonato de Portugal on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Mortagua are currently placed 7th in the table with 13 points, while Naval 1893 occupy 31st position with 7 points.
Mortagua come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Naval 1893 have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Mortagua have 1 win against Naval 1893, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Mortagua and Naval 1893 to draw with probability 35%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.76. Over 2.5: 26%. BTTS: 35%.
MORNAVMORNAVMORNAVMORNAVMORNAVMORNAVMORNAVMORNAVMORNAVIn their last 6 matches, Mortagua have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Mortagua have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mortagua's last 6 matches.
Naval 1893 have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Naval 1893's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Naval 1893 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
