The model estimates 1.76 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.17 for Santos. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sao Paulo and 6 for Santos, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sao Paulo is going head to head with Santos on July 29, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Serie A Betano — Round 21.
Sao Paulo take on Santos in the Serie A Betano on 29 July 2026 at 20:00.
Sao Paulo are currently placed 16th in the table with 1 points, while Santos occupy 14th position with 1 points.
Sao Paulo come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Santos have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 106 recorded meetings, Santos have 43 wins against Sao Paulo, with 21 draws.
Prediction: Sao Paulo to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.93. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 58%.




Sao Paulo have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Sao Paulo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sao Paulo have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Santos's last 6 matches.
Santos have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Santos's last 6 matches.