The model estimates 1.34 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.28 for Fluminense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sao Paulo and 6 for Fluminense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sao Paulo · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sao Paulo is going head to head with Fluminense on November 18, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Serie A Betano — Round 35.
Sao Paulo take on Fluminense in the Serie A Betano on 18 November 2026 at 21:00.
Sao Paulo are currently placed 10th in the table with 18 points, while Fluminense occupy 6th position with 23 points.
Sao Paulo come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fluminense have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 78 recorded meetings, Sao Paulo have 35 wins against Fluminense, with 18 draws.
Prediction: Sao Paulo to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.62. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 55%.




In their last 6 matches, Sao Paulo have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sao Paulo's last 6 matches.
Sao Paulo are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated home matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fluminense's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Fluminense's last 6 matches.
Fluminense score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.