The model estimates 1.88 goals for Santos and 0.88 for Gremio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Santos and 6 for Gremio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Santos · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Santos is going head to head with Gremio on November 22, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Serie A Betano — Round 36.
Santos take on Gremio in the Serie A Betano on 22 November 2026 at 21:00.
Santos are currently placed 7th in the table with 23 points, while Gremio occupy 16th position with 13 points.
Santos come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gremio have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 75 recorded meetings, Santos have 28 wins against Gremio, with 22 draws.
Prediction: Santos to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.76. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 51%.




In their last 6 matches, Santos have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Santos's last 6 matches.
Santos have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Gremio have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gremio have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Gremio's last 6 matches.