The model estimates 0.74 goals for Rio Ave and 2.01 for Arouca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rio Ave and 6 for Arouca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arouca · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rio Ave is going head to head with Arouca on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 29.
Rio Ave take on Arouca in the Primeira Liga on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
Rio Ave are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Arouca occupy 5th position with 17 points.
Rio Ave come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arouca have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Arouca to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.74. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 46%.
RIOARORIOARORIOARORIOARORIOARORIOARORIOARORIOARORIOARORio Ave have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Rio Ave's last 6 matches.
Rio Ave have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arouca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arouca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Arouca have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.
