The model estimates 1.14 goals for Arouca and 0.75 for Braga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arouca and 6 for Braga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arouca · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arouca is going head to head with Braga on April 18, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 30.
Arouca take on Braga in the Primeira Liga on 18 April 2027 at 00:00.
Arouca are currently placed 5th in the table with 17 points, while Braga occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Arouca come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Braga have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Arouca to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.89. Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 38%.




In their last 6 matches, Arouca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arouca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Arouca score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 4 home matches.
Braga have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Braga's last 6 matches.
Braga have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.