The model estimates 2.64 goals for Real Madrid and 0.74 for Alaves. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Real Madrid and 6 for Alaves, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Madrid · 70%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Real Madrid is going head to head with Alaves on November 29, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 14.
Real Madrid take on Alaves in the LaLiga on 29 November 2026 at 19:00.
Real Madrid are currently placed 3rd in the table with 24 points, while Alaves occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Real Madrid come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alaves have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Real Madrid have 2 wins against Alaves.
Prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 70%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.38. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 50%.




In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Real Madrid's last 6 matches.
Alaves have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Alaves have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alaves's last 6 matches.