The model estimates 1.53 goals for Alaves and 1.34 for Elche. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alaves and 6 for Elche, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alaves · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alaves is going head to head with Elche on December 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 17.
Alaves take on Elche in the LaLiga on 20 December 2026 at 19:00.
Alaves are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Elche occupy 14th position with 10 points.
Alaves come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Elche have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Alaves have 1 win against Elche, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Alaves to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.87. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 59%.




Alaves have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Alaves have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alaves's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Elche have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Elche have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Elche have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.