The model estimates 1.11 goals for Ath Bilbao and 1.56 for Real Madrid. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ath Bilbao and 6 for Real Madrid, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Madrid · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ath Bilbao is going head to head with Real Madrid on December 06, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 15.
Ath Bilbao take on Real Madrid in the LaLiga on 6 December 2026 at 19:00.
Ath Bilbao are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Real Madrid occupy 3rd position with 24 points.
Ath Bilbao come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Real Madrid have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Real Madrid have 2 wins against Ath Bilbao.
Prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.66. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 54%.




Ath Bilbao are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ath Bilbao have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ath Bilbao have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Real Madrid's last 6 matches.