The model estimates 1.48 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.09 for Valencia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rayo Vallecano and 6 for Valencia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Rayo Vallecano · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rayo Vallecano is going head to head with Valencia on November 22, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 13.
Rayo Vallecano take on Valencia in the LaLiga on 22 November 2026 at 19:00.
Rayo Vallecano are currently placed 15th in the table with 9 points, while Valencia occupy 19th position with 6 points.
Rayo Vallecano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Valencia have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 49 recorded meetings, Valencia have 24 wins against Rayo Vallecano, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.57. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 53%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Valencia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Valencia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Valencia's last 6 away matches.