The model estimates 1.17 goals for Lyon and 1.38 for PSG. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lyon and 6 for PSG, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lyon · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lyon is going head to head with PSG on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 31.
Lyon take on PSG in the Ligue 1 on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
Lyon are currently placed 5th in the table with 14 points, while PSG occupy 1st position with 17 points.
Lyon come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas PSG have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 111 recorded meetings, PSG have 50 wins against Lyon, with 30 draws.
Prediction: PSG to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Lyon score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, PSG have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
PSG have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of PSG's last 6 matches.