The model estimates 2.95 goals for Penafiel and 1.00 for Leixoes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Penafiel and 6 for Leixoes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Penafiel · 69%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Penafiel is going head to head with Leixoes on December 13, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 14.
Penafiel take on Leixoes in the Liga Portugal 2 on 13 December 2026 at 19:00.
Penafiel are currently placed 4th in the table with 16 points, while Leixoes occupy 13th position with 10 points.
Penafiel come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Leixoes have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Penafiel to win with probability 69%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.95. Over 2.5: 75%. BTTS: 61%.
PENLEIPENLEIPENLEIPENLEIPENLEIPENLEIPENLEIPENLEIPENLEIIn their last 6 matches, Penafiel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Penafiel have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Penafiel's last 6 matches.
Leixoes have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Leixoes's last 6 matches.
Leixoes concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
