European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 2.69 goals for Penafiel and 0.80 for Amarante. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Penafiel and 6 for Amarante, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Penafiel · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Penafiel is going head to head with Amarante on December 27, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 16.
Penafiel take on Amarante in the Liga Portugal 2 on 27 December 2026 at 19:00.
Penafiel are currently placed 2nd in the table with 16 points, while Amarante occupy 17th position with 5 points.
Penafiel come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Amarante have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Penafiel to win with probability 69%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.49. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 52%.
PENAMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAMAIn their last 6 matches, Penafiel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Penafiel have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Penafiel's last 6 matches.
Amarante have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Amarante have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.
Amarante concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 away matches.
