The model estimates 2.06 goals for Penafiel and 0.95 for CD Tondela. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Penafiel and 6 for CD Tondela, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Penafiel · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Penafiel is going head to head with CD Tondela on April 18, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 30.
Penafiel take on CD Tondela in the Liga Portugal 2 on 18 April 2027 at 00:00.
Penafiel are currently placed 2nd in the table with 16 points, while CD Tondela occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Penafiel come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas CD Tondela have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Penafiel to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 55%.




In their last 6 matches, Penafiel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Penafiel have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Penafiel's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of CD Tondela's last 6 matches.
CD Tondela have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
CD Tondela have won only 1 of their last 6 away matches.