The model estimates 0.80 goals for Amarante and 2.47 for Penafiel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Amarante and 6 for Penafiel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Penafiel · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Amarante is going head to head with Penafiel on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 33.
Amarante take on Penafiel in the Liga Portugal 2 on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
Amarante are currently placed 17th in the table with 5 points, while Penafiel occupy 2nd position with 16 points.
Amarante come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Penafiel have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Penafiel to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 3.27. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 51%.
AMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAMAPENAmarante have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Amarante have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Amarante's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Penafiel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Penafiel have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Penafiel's last 6 matches.
