The model estimates 0.88 goals for Parma and 1.83 for AC Milan. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Parma and 6 for AC Milan, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AC Milan · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Parma is going head to head with AC Milan on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 35.
Parma take on AC Milan in the Serie A on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
Parma are currently placed 18th in the table with 5 points, while AC Milan occupy 4th position with 18 points.
Parma come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AC Milan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 50%.




Parma have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Parma's last 6 matches.
Parma have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AC Milan have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AC Milan's last 6 matches.
AC Milan score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.