The model estimates 1.65 goals for Bologna and 0.77 for Parma. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bologna and 6 for Parma, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bologna · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bologna is going head to head with Parma on May 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 38.
Bologna take on Parma in the Serie A on 30 May 2027 at 00:00.
Bologna are currently placed 11th in the table with 11 points, while Parma occupy 18th position with 5 points.
Bologna come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Parma have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 45 recorded meetings, Bologna have 16 wins against Parma, with 17 draws.
Prediction: Bologna to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.42. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 45%.




In their last 6 matches, Bologna have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Bologna's last 6 matches.
Bologna score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Parma have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Parma's last 6 matches.
Parma have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.