The model estimates 2.35 goals for Mjallby and 1.25 for Pafos. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mjallby and 6 for Pafos, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mjallby · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mjallby is going head to head with Pafos on December 10, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 5.
Mjallby take on Pafos in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10 December 2026 at 20:00.
Mjallby are currently placed 12th in the table with 4 points, while Pafos occupy 27th position with 1 points.
Mjallby come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pafos have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Mjallby to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.59. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 65%.




Mjallby have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Mjallby's last 6 matches.
Mjallby have lost 4 of their last 6 home matches.
Pafos have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Pafos's last 6 matches.
Pafos concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.