The model estimates 1.22 goals for Padova and 0.89 for Empoli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Padova and 6 for Empoli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Padova · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Padova is going head to head with Empoli on November 07, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 11.
Padova take on Empoli in the Serie B on 7 November 2026 at 17:00.
Padova are currently placed 8th in the table with 13 points, while Empoli occupy 18th position with 8 points.
Padova come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Empoli have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, Empoli have 6 wins against Padova, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Padova to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.12. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 43%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Padova's last 6 matches.
Padova have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Padova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Empoli have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Empoli have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Empoli's last 6 matches.