The model estimates 1.05 goals for O Elvas CAD and 0.93 for Mortagua. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for O Elvas CAD and 6 for Mortagua, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: O Elvas CAD · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
O Elvas CAD is going head to head with Mortagua on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 23.
O Elvas CAD take on Mortagua in the Campeonato de Portugal on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
O Elvas CAD are currently placed 6th in the table with 16 points, while Mortagua occupy 10th position with 15 points.
O Elvas CAD come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mortagua have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, O Elvas CAD have 1 win against Mortagua, with 1 draw.
Prediction: O Elvas CAD and Mortagua to draw with probability 34%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.98. Over 2.5: 32%. BTTS: 41%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of O Elvas CAD's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of O Elvas CAD's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, O Elvas CAD have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Mortagua have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Mortagua's last 6 matches.
Mortagua have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.