The model estimates 1.90 goals for Mortagua and 1.07 for Fatima. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mortagua and 6 for Fatima, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mortagua · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mortagua is going head to head with Fatima on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 26.
Mortagua take on Fatima in the Campeonato de Portugal on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Mortagua are currently placed 7th in the table with 13 points, while Fatima occupy 39th position with 5 points.
Mortagua come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fatima have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Mortagua have 2 wins against Fatima, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Mortagua to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.97. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 57%.
MORFATMORFATMORFATMORFATMORFATMORFATMORFATMORFATMORFATIn their last 6 matches, Mortagua have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Mortagua have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mortagua's last 6 matches.
Fatima have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Fatima's last 6 matches.
Fatima score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
