The model estimates 1.26 goals for Novara and 0.99 for Renate. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Novara and 6 for Renate, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Novara · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Novara is going head to head with Renate on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 22.
Novara take on Renate in the Italy Serie C on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Novara are currently placed 49th in the table with 10 points, while Renate occupy 59th position with 5 points.
Novara come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Renate have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Novara have 1 win against Renate.
Prediction: Novara to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.25. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 47%.




Novara have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Novara have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Novara concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Renate have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Renate's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Renate's last 6 away matches.