The model estimates 1.32 goals for Novara and 1.15 for Lumezzane. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Novara and 6 for Lumezzane, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Novara · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Novara is going head to head with Lumezzane on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 24.
Novara take on Lumezzane in the Italy Serie C on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Novara are currently placed 49th in the table with 10 points, while Lumezzane occupy 41st position with 12 points.
Novara come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lumezzane have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Novara have yet to beat Lumezzane, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Novara to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.47. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.




Novara have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Novara have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Novara concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lumezzane's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lumezzane's last 6 matches.
Lumezzane have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.