The model estimates 1.74 goals for Carpi and 1.27 for Novara. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Carpi and 6 for Novara, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Carpi · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Carpi is going head to head with Novara on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 25.
Carpi take on Novara in the Italy Serie C on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Carpi are currently placed 42nd in the table with 12 points, while Novara occupy 49th position with 10 points.
Carpi come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Novara have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Carpi have yet to beat Novara, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Carpi to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 61%.
CARNOVCARNOVCARNOVCARNOVCARNOVCARNOVCARNOVCARNOVCARNOVThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Carpi's last 6 matches.
Carpi have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Carpi's last 6 matches.
Novara have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Novara have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Novara concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
