The model estimates 1.15 goals for NK Zagreb and 0.73 for Gorica. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for NK Zagreb and 6 for Gorica, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: NK Zagreb · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
NK Zagreb is going head to head with Gorica on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of HNL — Round 20.
NK Zagreb take on Gorica in the HNL on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
NK Zagreb are currently placed 8th in the table with 11 points, while Gorica occupy 10th position with 7 points.
NK Zagreb come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gorica have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 42 recorded meetings, Gorica have 16 wins against NK Zagreb, with 11 draws.
Prediction: NK Zagreb to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.88. Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 37%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of NK Zagreb's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, NK Zagreb have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
NK Zagreb have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Gorica have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gorica have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Gorica's last 6 matches.