The model estimates 1.40 goals for Ajax and 1.49 for Twente. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ajax and 6 for Twente, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ajax · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ajax is going head to head with Twente on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 28.
Ajax take on Twente in the Eredivisie on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
Ajax are currently placed 3rd in the table with 21 points, while Twente occupy 2nd position with 23 points.
Ajax come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Twente have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 125 recorded meetings, Ajax have 71 wins against Twente, with 27 draws.
Prediction: Twente to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.89. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 60%.




Ajax are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
Twente are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Twente have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Twente have won 5 of their last 6 matches.