The model estimates 1.59 goals for Toulouse and 1.07 for Nice. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Toulouse and 6 for Nice, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Toulouse · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Toulouse is going head to head with Nice on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 17.
Toulouse take on Nice in the Ligue 1 on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Toulouse are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Nice occupy 10th position with 11 points.
Toulouse come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nice have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 93 recorded meetings, Nice have 36 wins against Toulouse, with 26 draws.
Prediction: Toulouse to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.66. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Toulouse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Toulouse's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Nice's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nice have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nice's last 6 matches.