The model estimates 2.14 goals for Newport County and 0.91 for Crawley Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Newport County and 6 for Crawley Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Newport County · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Newport County is going head to head with Crawley Town on April 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 40.
Newport County take on Crawley Town in the League Two on 10 April 2027 at 00:00.
Newport County are currently placed 10th in the table with 18 points, while Crawley Town occupy 24th position with 6 points.
Newport County come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Crawley Town have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 23 recorded meetings, Crawley Town have 11 wins against Newport County, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Newport County to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.05. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Newport County have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Newport County have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Newport County's last 6 matches.
Crawley Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Crawley Town's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Crawley Town's last 6 matches.