The model estimates 1.66 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.08 for Newport County. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Grimsby Town and 6 for Newport County, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Grimsby Town · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Grimsby Town is going head to head with Newport County on April 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 43.
Grimsby Town take on Newport County in the League Two on 24 April 2027 at 00:00.
Grimsby Town are currently placed 10th in the table with 17 points, while Newport County occupy 15th position with 15 points.
Grimsby Town come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Newport County have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 28 recorded meetings, Newport County have 10 wins against Grimsby Town, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Grimsby Town to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.74. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 55%.




Grimsby Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Grimsby Town have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Grimsby Town's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Newport County have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Newport County have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Newport County's last 6 matches.