The model estimates 1.80 goals for Newcastle United and 1.98 for Chelsea. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Newcastle United and 6 for Chelsea, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Newcastle United · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Newcastle United is going head to head with Chelsea on February 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 25.
Newcastle United take on Chelsea in the Premier League on 10 February 2027 at 00:00.
Newcastle United are currently placed 11th in the table with 12 points, while Chelsea occupy 4th position with 16 points.
Newcastle United come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chelsea have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 158 recorded meetings, Chelsea have 68 wins against Newcastle United, with 38 draws.
Prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.78. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 73%.
NEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENEWCHENewcastle United have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Newcastle United have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Newcastle United's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chelsea have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Chelsea's last 6 matches.
Chelsea have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
