The model estimates 1.37 goals for Nesebar and 0.98 for Marek. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nesebar and 6 for Marek, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Nesebar · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nesebar is going head to head with Marek on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Vtora Liga — Round 24.
Nesebar take on Marek in the Bulgaria Vtora Liga on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Nesebar are currently placed 11th in the table with 18 points, while Marek occupy 12th position with 18 points.
Nesebar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Marek have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Marek have 1 win against Nesebar.
Prediction: Nesebar to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.35. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 48%.




In their last 6 matches, Nesebar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Nesebar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Nesebar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Marek have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Marek have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Marek's last 6 matches.