The model estimates 1.63 goals for Nesebar and 0.79 for Lok. Gorna. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nesebar and 6 for Lok. Gorna, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Nesebar · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nesebar is going head to head with Lok. Gorna on April 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Vtora Liga — Round 26.
Nesebar take on Lok. Gorna in the Bulgaria Vtora Liga on 3 April 2027 at 00:00.
Nesebar are currently placed 11th in the table with 18 points, while Lok. Gorna occupy 8th position with 20 points.
Nesebar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lok. Gorna have 2 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Nesebar have yet to beat Lok. Gorna, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Nesebar to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.42. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 46%.




In their last 6 matches, Nesebar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Nesebar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Nesebar's last 6 matches.
Lok. Gorna are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lok. Gorna have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Lok. Gorna's last 6 matches.