The model estimates 1.51 goals for Rilski Sportist and 1.08 for Nesebar. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rilski Sportist and 6 for Nesebar, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Rilski Sportist · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rilski Sportist is going head to head with Nesebar on March 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Vtora Liga — Round 25.
Rilski Sportist take on Nesebar in the Bulgaria Vtora Liga on 27 March 2027 at 00:00.
Rilski Sportist are currently placed 9th in the table with 19 points, while Nesebar occupy 11th position with 18 points.
Rilski Sportist come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nesebar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Nesebar have 1 win against Rilski Sportist.
Prediction: Rilski Sportist to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.58. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Rilski Sportist have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rilski Sportist have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Rilski Sportist are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nesebar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Nesebar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Nesebar's last 6 matches.