The model estimates 1.79 goals for Napoli and 0.73 for Cagliari. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Napoli and 6 for Cagliari, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Napoli · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Napoli is going head to head with Cagliari on January 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 18.
Napoli take on Cagliari in the Serie A on 6 January 2027 at 00:00.
Napoli are currently placed 8th in the table with 14 points, while Cagliari occupy 7th position with 15 points.
Napoli come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cagliari have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 86 recorded meetings, Napoli have 39 wins against Cagliari, with 33 draws.
Prediction: Napoli to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.53. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 45%.
NAPCAGNAPCAGNAPCAGNAPCAGNAPCAGNAPCAGNAPCAGNAPCAGNAPCAGIn their last 6 matches, Napoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Napoli score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Napoli's last 6 home matches.
Cagliari have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Cagliari concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Cagliari have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
