The model estimates 1.58 goals for Moyale Barracks and 0.92 for Karonga United. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moyale Barracks and 6 for Karonga United, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Moyale Barracks · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moyale Barracks is going head to head with Karonga United on November 01, 2026 at 12:30. This match is part of Super League — Round 19.
Moyale Barracks take on Karonga United in the Super League on 1 November 2026 at 12:30.
Moyale Barracks are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Karonga United occupy 15th position with 9 points.
Moyale Barracks come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Karonga United have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 19 recorded meetings, Moyale Barracks have 8 wins against Karonga United, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Moyale Barracks to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.50. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 49%.




Moyale Barracks have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Moyale Barracks's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Moyale Barracks have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Karonga United have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Karonga United's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Karonga United have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.