The model estimates 1.15 goals for Chitipa United and 0.71 for Moyale Barracks. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chitipa United and 6 for Moyale Barracks, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chitipa United · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chitipa United is going head to head with Moyale Barracks on November 21, 2026 at 12:30. This match is part of Super League — Round 20.
Chitipa United take on Moyale Barracks in the Super League on 21 November 2026 at 12:30.
Chitipa United are currently placed 5th in the table with 16 points, while Moyale Barracks occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Chitipa United come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Moyale Barracks have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 12 recorded meetings, Chitipa United have 5 wins against Moyale Barracks, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Chitipa United to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.86. Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 36%.




In their last 6 matches, Chitipa United have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Chitipa United's last 6 matches.
Chitipa United have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Moyale Barracks have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Moyale Barracks's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Moyale Barracks's last 6 away matches.