The model estimates 1.51 goals for Karonga United and 0.90 for Kamuzu Barracks. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Karonga United and 6 for Kamuzu Barracks, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Karonga United · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Karonga United is going head to head with Kamuzu Barracks on November 22, 2026 at 12:30. This match is part of Super League — Round 20.
Karonga United take on Kamuzu Barracks in the Super League on 22 November 2026 at 12:30.
Karonga United are currently placed 15th in the table with 9 points, while Kamuzu Barracks occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Karonga United come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kamuzu Barracks have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Kamuzu Barracks have 11 wins against Karonga United, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Karonga United to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.41. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 48%.




Karonga United have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Karonga United's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Karonga United have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Kamuzu Barracks have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Kamuzu Barracks's last 6 matches.
Kamuzu Barracks have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.