The model estimates 1.78 goals for Motril and 0.72 for Mancha. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Motril and 6 for Mancha, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Motril · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Motril is going head to head with Mancha on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 9 — Round 33.
Motril take on Mancha in the Spain Tercera Division Group 9 on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
Motril are currently placed 4th in the table with 15 points, while Mancha occupy 16th position with 6 points.
Motril come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mancha have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Mancha have 5 wins against Motril, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Motril to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.50. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 44%.
In their last 6 matches, Motril have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Motril have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Motril's last 6 matches.
Mancha have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mancha concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.