The model estimates 0.76 goals for Mancha and 1.41 for Melilla. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mancha and 6 for Melilla, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Melilla · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mancha is going head to head with Melilla on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 9 — Round 34.
Mancha take on Melilla in the Spain Tercera Division Group 9 on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
Mancha are currently placed 16th in the table with 6 points, while Melilla occupy 1st position with 21 points.
Mancha come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Melilla have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Mancha have 2 wins against Melilla, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Melilla to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.17. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 42%.
Mancha have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mancha concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mancha's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Melilla have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Melilla have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Melilla's last 6 matches.