The model estimates 1.74 goals for Motril and 0.86 for Atletico de Marbella. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Motril and 6 for Atletico de Marbella, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Motril · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Motril is going head to head with Atletico de Marbella on November 22, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 9 — Round 12.
Motril take on Atletico de Marbella in the Spain Tercera Division Group 9 on 22 November 2026 at 19:00.
Motril are currently placed 4th in the table with 15 points, while Atletico de Marbella occupy 15th position with 6 points.
Motril come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atletico de Marbella have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Motril to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.59. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 49%.
In their last 6 matches, Motril have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Motril have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Motril's last 6 matches.
Atletico de Marbella have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Atletico de Marbella concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 4 away matches.
