The model estimates 1.39 goals for Moreirense and 1.61 for Alverca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moreirense and 6 for Alverca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alverca · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moreirense is going head to head with Alverca on April 18, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 30.
Moreirense take on Alverca in the Primeira Liga on 18 April 2027 at 00:00.
Moreirense are currently placed 10th in the table with 11 points, while Alverca occupy 7th position with 11 points.
Moreirense come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alverca have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Alverca to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.00. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 62%.




Moreirense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Moreirense's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Moreirense's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alverca have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alverca's last 6 matches.
Alverca score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.