The model estimates 1.10 goals for Alverca and 1.26 for Vitoria Guimaraes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alverca and 6 for Vitoria Guimaraes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Vitoria Guimaraes · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alverca is going head to head with Vitoria Guimaraes on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 31.
Alverca take on Vitoria Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
Alverca are currently placed 7th in the table with 11 points, while Vitoria Guimaraes occupy 13th position with 8 points.
Alverca come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vitoria Guimaraes have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.36. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Alverca have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alverca's last 6 matches.
Alverca score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vitoria Guimaraes's last 6 matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.