The model estimates 2.12 goals for Monza and 1.54 for Lecce. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Monza and 6 for Lecce, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Monza · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Monza is going head to head with Lecce on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 24.
Monza take on Lecce in the Serie A on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Monza are currently placed 15th in the table with 7 points, while Lecce occupy 13th position with 9 points.
Monza come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lecce have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, Lecce have 6 wins against Monza, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Monza to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.66. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 70%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Monza's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Monza's last 6 matches.
Monza have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.