The model estimates 0.80 goals for Lecce and 1.98 for Como. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lecce and 6 for Como, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Como · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lecce is going head to head with Como on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 27.
Lecce take on Como in the Serie A on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Lecce are currently placed 14th in the table with 9 points, while Como occupy 4th position with 20 points.
Lecce come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Como have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Como to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.78. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 49%.




Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Como have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Como have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Como's last 6 matches.