The model estimates 2.03 goals for MK Dons and 3.34 for Swindon Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for MK Dons and 6 for Swindon Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Swindon Town · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
MK Dons is going head to head with Swindon Town on November 07, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Fa Cup — 1/128-finals.
MK Dons take on Swindon Town in the England Fa Cup on 7 November 2026 at 15:00.
MK Dons come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Swindon Town have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 32 recorded meetings, MK Dons have 17 wins against Swindon Town, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Swindon Town to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 2-3. Avg goals: 5.37. Over 2.5: 90%. BTTS: 84%.




In their last 6 matches, MK Dons have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
MK Dons have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of MK Dons's last 6 matches.
Swindon Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Swindon Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.