The model estimates 1.30 goals for Swindon Town and 1.26 for Grimsby Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Swindon Town and 6 for Grimsby Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Swindon Town · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Swindon Town is going head to head with Grimsby Town on November 14, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 15.
Swindon Town take on Grimsby Town in the League Two on 14 November 2026 at 15:00.
Swindon Town are currently placed 13th in the table with 16 points, while Grimsby Town occupy 10th position with 17 points.
Swindon Town come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Grimsby Town have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Swindon Town have 13 wins against Grimsby Town, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Swindon Town to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.56. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 54%.




Swindon Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Swindon Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Grimsby Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Grimsby Town's last 6 away matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Grimsby Town's last 6 away matches.