The model estimates 2.05 goals for Mansfield and 1.16 for MK Dons. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mansfield and 6 for MK Dons, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mansfield · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mansfield is going head to head with MK Dons on November 21, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of League One — Round 16.
Mansfield take on MK Dons in the League One on 21 November 2026 at 15:00.
Mansfield are currently placed 10th in the table with 18 points, while MK Dons occupy 14th position with 15 points.
Mansfield come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas MK Dons have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, MK Dons have 4 wins against Mansfield, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Mansfield to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.21. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 61%.




In their last 6 matches, Mansfield have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Mansfield's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mansfield's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, MK Dons have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
MK Dons have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of MK Dons's last 6 matches.