The model estimates 1.29 goals for Mantova and 0.90 for Padova. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mantova and 6 for Padova, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mantova · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mantova is going head to head with Padova on December 27, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 19.
Mantova take on Padova in the Serie B on 27 December 2026 at 17:00.
Mantova are currently placed 4th in the table with 17 points, while Padova occupy 8th position with 13 points.
Mantova come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Padova have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Mantova to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.19. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 45%.




In their last 6 matches, Mantova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Mantova's last 6 matches.
Mantova have won only 2 of their last 6 home matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Padova's last 6 matches.
Padova have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Padova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.